不够智能但是有理有据chatGPT回答今天股市涨跌原因

Round 1

AI回答股市下跌原因

问：“为什么中国股市今天下跌？

答：There are a few reasons for this.

有几个原因。

1. The US stock market had a big drop on Friday, and this continued today.

1. 美国股市周五大幅下跌，今天继续下跌。

2. The US stock market is the largest in the world, and when it falls, other markets tend to follow.

2. 美国股市是世界上最大的，当它下跌时，其他市场往往会随之下跌。

3. China’s stock market is highly volatile, and falls more than other markets when there is a global sell-off.

3. 中国股市波动很大，在全球抛售时比其他市场下跌更多。

4. There are concerns that the Chinese economy is slowing down, and that this will have a negative impact on Chinese stocks.

4. 人们担心中国经济正在放缓，这将对中国股票产生负面影响。”

Round 2

AI回答股市上涨原因

问：“为什么中国股市今天上涨？

答：

The rise of Chinese stocks today is due to the following reasons:

1.做多投资者比较多：经济疫情影响较小，股票走势较稳定

1. There are more long-term investors: the economic impact is relatively small, and the stock trend is relatively stable.

2.有些股票走势较好：比如说阿里巴巴、网易、腾讯等等。

2. Some stocks have better trends: for example, Alibaba, Netease, Tencent, etc.

3.中国股市走势较好：股票走势较稳定，比如说在今年3月份，中国股市上涨了7%，而美国股市则下跌了5%。

3. The Chinese stock market is doing well: the stock trend is relatively stable, for example, in March this year, the Chinese stock market rose by 7%, while the US stock market fell by 5%.

4.中国股市上涨的原因是：外国投资者认为中国股市走势较好，而且中国股市的波动性较小，因此更有吸引力。

4. The reason for the rise of the Chinese stock market is that foreign investors believe that the Chinese stock market is doing well, and the volatility of the Chinese stock market is relatively small, so it is more attractive.

点评

从以上两轮问答看，目前openAI放出的chatGPT虽然智能，但还有一些局限性。明显的缺点是机器人是依据历史语料训练的，当前版本缺失实时搜索的能力。两轮问答来自同一天，2.22日，当日大盘指数一片绿。chat GPT首先缺失了对问题的判断能力，对伪命题一本正经地作答。其次，在问答中涉及的信息也有时效性问题，比如“美国股市周五大幅下跌”, “有些股票走势较好：比如说阿里巴巴、网易、腾讯等等”。第三，也是最重要的是从答案中暂时没有看出chatGPT的创造性，即对可信信息加工、提取、理解、推理的能力。

虽然不够智能，但是回答得一本正经，有理有据。chat GPT的回答看起来神似一些股票专家的点评。chat GPT或许可以做成一个大的理由库。市场上涨时从上涨理由中摘取原因，市场下跌时从下跌理由中摘取原因。看起来也行能大大节省一片股评文章的写作时间。